Eurovision 2016 - Semi Final Allocations

[Mordecai]

Here are the semi final allocations for Eurovision 2016 - what semi final and what halves each country will perform in, alongside which semi finals the Big 6 will vote in.

[Aleks Džehverović]

this will be really hard for us, if the song is not really really good we won't see us in the final again. And I don't like Douwe Bob so I don't expect anything.
Happy Sergey is in our semi-final so I can vote for him!

[fabbi]

I don't know what to think about Germany and Italy voting in the semi that we are in. However I'm happy that the United Kingdom is there as well.

(Okay that was a weird post. )

[(inactive)]

This draw is perfect for : all our possible voters are in SF2

[George]

WAT finally we are in the same semi again with Cyprus

[Mordecai]

And here comes my nit-picky, overtly and unnecessarily detailed analysis on the draw:

Semi Final 1:
By far it's going to be the hardest semi final to qualify from.

You can basically lock in Bosnia & Herzegovina, Azerbaijan, Russia, Armenia and Greece as sure qualifiers. All have 100% qualification records (except for Armenia) and I don't think they'll be going away any time soon. They've all pretty much got a guaranteed 12 points by default as well (Croatia to Bosnia, Azerbaijan & Armenia to Russia, Russia to Armenia/Azerbaijan, France to Armenia and Cyprus to Greece).

I think you can add Hungary to that mix as well as they've gotten a 100% qualification record since they've returned and decent track record, alongside a potentially winning song (if they choose it). That's six spots gone already.

The Netherlands, Austria, Czech Republic and Montenegro will find it hard to qualify, and now I think it's set in stone that San Marino will be staying in the SF now that they have to split the Turkish vote with Azerbaijan. Finland, Moldova, Croatia, Cyprus, Malta and Estonia are borderline. For the last four spots it'll just come down to the songs.

Semi Final 2:
This semi is far less predictable because there are only just two definite qualifiers - Ukraine and Romania (and 99.9% chance Australia making that 3).

In terms of voting patterns alone, Belarus, Israel and Belgium are disadvantaged as they have no real voting allies here. Latvia, Lithuania and Poland will benefit from Ireland and UK, Denmark and Norway will vote for each other (except if Anja Nissen wins DMGP then it could be Australia), Macedonia from Serbia, Albania and Slovenia, Serbia from Switzerland, Macedonia and Germany, Albania from Switzerland, Macedonia, Germany, Italy and Belgium and Lithuania and Georgia with that weird voting bloc they have.

It's good to see Albania has a few definite sets of high points Eneda slay, I love you and your song

SPOILER: Click to show

god i really hope the czech republic can do this because if they don't they're probably not coming back, and they need to avenge last year's result

[Julian]

I like this allocation draw, it seems like it will be less neighbour votings than before
And this years logo is amazing, imo it's the best ESC logo yet

[manos]

Jan 25, 2016 13:55:07 GMT 1 Julian said:

I like this allocation draw, it seems like it will be less neighbour votings than before
And this years logo is amazing, imo it's the best ESC logo yet

SF2 has less neighbour voting, I can't say the same for SF1

[Deleted]

SF1

[Dylan]

SF2.. and our really only voting friend is BUT other countries too there, so there's always a chance