I feel like making a first semifinal 0prediction right now. But I will make one again, when all songs are out.
I like that this year there is no obvious favorite right now, but I feel like
Dami Im will change that.
Semifinal 1Qualifiers: Russia,
Azerbaijan,
Bosnia & Herzegovina - The have a 100% qualification rate and I dont see, why this should change.
Greece - I dont know hearing the beand, I could imagine the first non-qualification. But they are 100% so far and have Cyprus in their semi.
Armenia - I dont like their song, but I think it will stick out and they have a great qualification rate and enough voting friends.
Moldova - They have a great song again imo. They have usually qualified, even nearly with a crappy entry last year.
Hungary - Typical male ESC-song. He will qualify. Also Hungary is pretty successful lately.
Iceland,
Cyprus - The fan favorites. Plus Iceland qualifies usually and Cyprus has Greece.
Austria/
Malta - There is only one spot left. Austria has a really great song, but Im not sure if it sticks out and what the idiots in the jury will do. I also feel like Ira wouldnt change her song, if she wont come back with a strong song. Maybe one of them could replace Greece, if they have a crappy song, too.
Non-qualifiers: Finland - I dont see anything special in this, it doesnt spread good mood.
Croatia - We dont know the song, but Im sceptical. It is usually hard for them to qualify.
Netherlands - I maybe could see a surprise here, but they have no voting friends here.
San Marino - This would nearly be a wonder, they would need much support from the Turkish diaspora around Europe.
Estonia - I dont see anything special in this. They have Finland in there semi, potential surprise maybe.
Montenegro - Nah, I dont think this kind of music can do well in ESC.
Czech Republic - Hope never dies, but Czech Republic changes in this strong semi look really slim.
Semifinal 2Qualifiers: Australia - Dami Im has to have a great song. Go Dami!
Ireland - He is kind of famous. Also I think this kind of music can do well. Plus the UK votes in their semi.
Latvia - Great altenative song again. Aminata will bring Latvia in the final for the second time in a row.
Lithuania - They have a lot of diaspora in this semi (like Latvia): Latvia, Poland, Belarus, UK, Ireland. Also if they choose Donny, he has already qualified wit a worse song.
Macedonia - Im hoping for another masterpiece from her. Crno i belo.
Strong voting friends like Albania and Bulgaria.
Switzerland - Great song. But she has to improve her vocals. Otherwise the dumb jury could kill her.
Serbia - They are always a strong contender.
Norway - Strong song, they usually qualify, too.
Romania - 100% qualification rate.
Ukraine - 100% qualification rate, special and strong song.
Non-qualifiers: Israel - Dont see any group, who will vote for this. Potential last place.
Belarus/
Poland - The songs arent strong enough, but they have diaspora, so they, especially Poland, could surprise us.
Albania - This is not enough. Typical Balkan ballad.
Belgium - I dont think this will stick out enough, bottom placement probably.
Bulgaria - I dont see her delivering a better song than Na inat.
Denmark - They failed with a boygroup last year, hopefully again this year.
Georgia - Again such a uniquw song like 2013. I cant see a much better result, too.
Slovenia - Nothing special, this isnt enough from a country like Slovenia.