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Post by italix on Aug 1, 2020 18:36:15 GMT 1
Update of the trend by countries (colors: red=situation got worse since my last post; green=getting better; blue=new country on the list). - Exponential growth (the number of new cases grows everyday by a roughly constant rate): none.
- Accelerating (the number of new cases grows everyday but the growth rate is decreasing) with negative perspective (might become exponential growth): none.
- Accelerating: India, Peru, Colombia, Spain, Argentina, Iraq, Indonesia, Dominican Republic, Romania, Uzbekistan, Morocco, Venezuela, Ethiopia, Kosovo, Equatorial Guinea, Lebanon, Malawi, Libya, Eswatini, Suriname, Angola.
- Accelerating with positive perspective (the growth of the number of new cases seems to have stopped but it's still a bit early for a conclusion): Brazil, South Africa, Mexico, Philippines, Bolivia, Ukraine, Israel, Panama, Ghana, Algeria, Kenya, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Bosnia, Madagascar, Albania, Namibia, Benin.
- Linear (the number of new cases is roughly constant) with negative perspective (more new cases have been seen recently but it's still a bit early for a conclusion): UK, France, Canada, Belgium, Netherlands, Singapore, Poland, Japan, Nepal, Australia, Czech Republic, Luxembourg, Paraguay, Maldives, Syria.
- Linear: Iran, Turkey, Kazakhstan, Ecuador, Guatemala, Kyrgyzstan, Serbia, Moldova, North Macedonia, Senegal, Gabon, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Rwanda, Mozambique, Uruguay, Togo, Jamaica, Sao Tome and Principe, Botswana.
- Linear with positive perspective (the number of new cases is roughly constant or slowly decreasing for a quite long period or has decreased recently): USA, Russia, Chile, Saudi Arabia, Bangladesh, Egypt, Sweden, Oman, Belarus, Kuwait, UAE, Portugal, Nigeria, Honduras, Bahrain, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Cameroon, Cote d'Ivoire, Palestine, Bulgaria, Sudan, DRC, Guinea, Croatia, Nicaragua, Congo, Montenegro, Cabo Verde, Guinea-Bissau.
- Decelarating with negative perspective (The amount of daily cases is still low but some recent indicators show that the epidemic could be stable at current level or rise again or the country has recently started its deconfinement while the epidemic was not under control): Italy, Germany, Switzerland, Austria, South Korea, Denmark, Greece, Cuba, Slovakia.
- Decelerating: Pakistan, Qatar, Afghanistan, Tajikistan, Georgia.
- Decelerating with positive perspective (the number of daily cases is continuously decreasing and is already at a quite low level): Malaysia, Haiti, Mauritania, CAR, Somalia, Mali, South Sudan, Slovenia, Sierra Leone, Yemen, Jordan, Liberia, Uganda, Burkina Faso.
- Extinction with negative perspective (the epidemic is under control on most part of the country but new cases have been discovered recently and might lead to a new wave): China, Hungary, Lithuania, Iceland, Tunisia, Cyprus, Chad, Andorra, Malta.
- Extinction (the number of daily cases is very low and stable or decreasing): Ireland, Norway, Finland, Thailand, Sri Lanka, Estonia, Latvia.
- Extinction with positive perspective (no or almost no new daily cases and a small number of still active cases in the country): Djibouti (27 active cases), New Zealand (22 cases), Niger (37 cases).
- Extinct: none (from the countries above 712 cases - number of cases of Diamond Princess).
Some additional comments: Situation for American States: in California, the State with the higher number of cases, the peek of the epidemic might have been reached. It has probably been reached in the other States where big outbreaks occured at the beginning of the second wave in the country: Florida, Texas, Georgia and Arizona. The activity of the virus in the State of New York remained stable since the beginning of the second wave but it raised in various proportions in other States concerned by the first wave like Massachusetts, Illinois or Pennsylvania. The epidemic is still growing in other States that hadn't been much concerned by the first wave like North and South Carolina, Alabama or Mississippi.
The situation in China is quite peculiar since the activity is extremely low in the whole country - that's why the country is not in red - but the virus is very active in Hong Kong. I also decided to add some informations about countries below the number of cases of Diamond Princess and that have a few or non remaining cases. I'll distinguish three categories: - Countries with high GDP that have higher chances to detect new clusters: San Marino (0 active cases), Taiwan (20 cases), Brunei (0 cases), Monaco (11 cases), Liechtenstein (2 cases), Vatican City (0 cases).
- Countries with lower GDP that are more likely to have missed new clusters: Bahamas (469 cases), Mauritius (2 cases), Cambodia (75 cases), Trinidad and Tobago (33 cases), Seychelles (75 cases), Barbados (7 cases), Bhutan (12 cases), Antigua and Barbuda (21 cases), Papua New Guinea (59 cases), Saint Vincent and the Grenadines (10 cases), Belize (16 cases), Fiji (8 cases), Saint Lucia (3 cases), Grenada (1 case), Timor Leste (0 cases), Laos (1 case), Dominica (0 cases), Saint Kitts and Navis (1 case), Western Sahara (1 case).
- Countries that claim to be coronavirus-free but never announced any cases or stopped revealing their statistics: Tanzania, Turkmenistan, North Korea.
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Post by thomas (inactive) on Aug 5, 2020 12:37:37 GMT 1
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Post by π±π π£π€π°π° on Aug 16, 2020 13:30:45 GMT 1
Update from  Poland:On August 8th, additional restrictions entered into force in the counties with the highest increase in COVID-19 infections. The restrictions β½α΅Λ‘βΎ apply to weddings and other family celebrations, gastronomy, sporting events, public transport, amusement parks, cinemas, gyms and fitness clubs, sanatoriums, the organization of congresses and fairs, and cultural events. In some counties, the obligation to cover the nose and mouth in public space has returned. β½α΅Λ‘βΎ
A map with counties with additional restrictions can be found here. As usual, a graph and some data in the spoiler:
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Post by italix on Sept 15, 2020 11:18:54 GMT 1
Update of the trend by countries (colors: red=situation got worse since my last post; green=getting better; blue=new country on the list). - Exponential growth (the number of new cases grows everyday by a roughly constant rate): none.
- Accelerating (the number of new cases grows everyday but the growth rate is decreasing) with negative perspective (might become exponential growth): Tunisia, Myanmar.
- Accelerating: India, Spain, France, UK, Indonesia, Ukraine, Israel, Morocco, Netherlands, UAE, Costa Rica, Nepal, Czech Republic, Austria, Palestine, Paraguay, Libya, Denmark, Hungary, Slovakia.
- Accelerating with positive perspective (the growth of the number of new cases seems to have stopped but it's still a bit early for a conclusion): Argentina, Iraq, Albania, Uganda, Trinidad and Tobago, Guyana.
- Linear (the number of new cases is roughly constant) with negative perspective (more new cases have been seen recently but it's still a bit early for a conclusion): Russia, Turkey, Canada, Ecuador, Belgium, Oman, Portugal, Bahrain, Uzbekistan, Switzerland, Ireland, Lebanon, Greece, Malaysia, Montenegro, Mozambique, Cabo Verde, Slovenia, Jordan, Georgia, Burkina Faso, Andorra. - Linear: Chile, Iran, Italy, Philippines, Germany, Qatar, Romania, Egypt, Kuwait, Sweden, Belarus, Honduras, Venezuela, Moldova, Azerbaijan, Cameroon, Cote d'Ivoire, Madagascar, Croatia, Norway, Luxembourg, Cuba, Bahamas, Botswana, Malta, Uruguay, Togo, Belize, Lesotho.
- Linear with positive perspective (the number of new cases is roughly constant or slowly decreasing for a quite long period or has decreased recently): USA, Brazil, Peru, Colombia, Mexico, Bangladesh, Bolivia, Dominican Republic, Panama, Guatemala, Poland, Ethiopia, Nigeria, Algeria, Armenia, Serbia, El Salvador, Bosnia, South Korea, Bulgaria, North Macedonia, Zambia, Kosovo, Guinea, Namibia, Maldives, Congo, Nicaragua, Suriname, Jamaica, Syria, Angola, Gambia, Guinea-Bissau, Benin.
- Decelarating with negative perspective (The amount of daily cases is still low but some recent indicators show that the epidemic could be stable at current level or rise again or the country has recently started its deconfinement while the epidemic was not under control): Pakistan, Tajikistan, Finland, Lithuania, Sri Lanka, Estonia.
- Decelerating: South Africa, Saudi Arabia, Japan, Ghana, Afghanistan, Kenya, Senegal, Sudan, DRC, Rwanda, Somalia, Mali. - Decelerating with positive perspective (the number of daily cases is continuously decreasing and is already at a quite low level): Kazakhstan, Singapore, Kyrgyzstan, Australia, Haiti, Zimbabwe, Mauritania, Malawi, Eswatini, CAR, South Sudan, Sierra Leone, Cyprus.
- Extinction with negative perspective (the epidemic is under control on most part of the country but new cases have been discovered recently and might lead to a new wave): none. - Extinction (the number of daily cases is very low and stable or decreasing): China, Gabon, Equatorial Guinea, Thailand, Iceland, Yemen, New Zealand, Latvia, Chad, Vietnam.
- Extinction with positive perspective (no or almost no new daily cases and a small number of still active cases in the country): Djibouti (4 active cases), Liberia (26 cases), Niger (7 cases), Sao Tome and Principe (21 cases), San Marino (18 cases).
- Extinct: none (from the countries above 712 cases - number of cases of Diamond Princess).
I also decided to add some informations about countries below the number of cases of Diamond Princess and that have a few or not remaining cases. I'll distinguish three categories: - Countries with high GDP that have higher chances to detect new clusters: San Marino (joined the main list), Taiwan (20 cases), Monaco (44 cases), Brunei (3 cases), Liechtenstein (5 cases), Vatican City (0 cases).
- Countries with lower GDP that are more likely to have missed new clusters: Comoros (23 cases), Mauritius (16 cases), Trinidad and Tobago (joined the main list), Mongolia (10 cases), Cambodia (1 case), Bhutan (73 cases), Barbados (11 cases), Seychelles (4 cases), Antigua and Barbuda (1 case), Saint Vincent and the Grenadines (3 cases), Belize (joined the main list), Fiji (6 cases), Saint Lucia (1 case), Timor Leste (1 case), Dominica (6 cases), Grenada (0 cases), Laos (1 case), Saint Kitts and Navis (0 cases), Western Sahara (1 case).
- Countries that claim to be coronavirus-free but never announced any cases or stopped revealing their statistics: Tanzania, Turkmenistan, North Korea.
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Post by π±π π£π€π°π° on Sept 30, 2020 13:15:13 GMT 1
Update from Poland:Today, only a graph and some data:
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6,127
12,105
Fool me once, October Rain. Fool me twice, Hurricane
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Post by Tufkai on Oct 1, 2020 16:07:37 GMT 1
The first few pages of this thread have aged so well...
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5,154
14,298
Host of Festival of Miracles
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Post by Gilberto on Oct 2, 2020 0:12:23 GMT 1
The first few pages of this thread have aged so well... It's very interesting reading the first pages of this where there was an apparent consensus that the OP was being paranoid about COVID-19, I think it reflects most of the world's initial reaction quite well  Somewhere I read that everything that's done BEFORE the pandemic to try to lower the numbers will always seem exaggerated, and this forum's first reactions are a perfect example of that  |
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Post by π±π π£π€π°π° on Oct 30, 2020 10:29:59 GMT 1
Update from Poland:From October 10th to 23rd, entire country (except 152 counties) was in the yellow zone of restrictions. Since October 24th, by the government's decision, Poland is in the red zone β½α΅Λ‘βΎ. Graph and some data here:
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Post by italix on Nov 10, 2020 14:50:07 GMT 1
Update of the trend by countries (colors: red=situation got worse since my last post; green=getting better; blue=new country on the list). - Exponential growth (the number of new cases grows everyday by a roughly constant rate): none.
- Accelerating (the number of new cases grows everyday but the growth rate is decreasing) with negative perspective (might become exponential growth): none.
- Accelerating: USA, France, Russia, Italy, Iran, Germany, Poland, Ukraine, Turkey, Romania, Canada, Morocco, Portugal, Austria, Sweden, Jordan, Hungary, Lebanon, Azerbaijan, Serbia, Kenya, Algeria, Georgia, Greece, Denmark, Malaysia, North Macedonia, El Salvador, Lithuania, Kosovo, Albania, Montenegro, Latvia.
- Accelerating with positive perspective (the growth of the number of new cases seems to have stopped but it's still a bit early for a conclusion): Spain, UK, Belgium, Netherlands, Czech Republic, Switzerland, Armenia, Belarus, Bulgaria, Slovakia, Croatia, Bosnia, Slovenia, Norway, Luxembourg.
- Linear (the number of new cases is roughly constant) with negative perspective (more new cases have been seen recently but it's still a bit early for a conclusion): Pakistan, Panama, Egypt, Japan, Moldova, Nigeria, Palestine, Finland, Uganda, Syria, Estonia, Belize, Uruguay, San Marino, Liechtenstein.
- Linear: Mexico, South Africa, Chile, Bangladesh, Saudi Arabia, Israel, Ecuador, Qatar, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Tunisia, Libya, Kyrgyzstan, Myanmar, Cameroon, Angola, Guinea, Tajikistan, Botswana, Cuba, Malta, Cyprus, Togo,
- Linear with positive perspective (the number of new cases is roughly constant or slowly decreasing for a quite long period or has decreased recently): India, Brazil, Argentina, Colombia, Peru, Iraq, Indonesia, Philippines, Nepal, UAE, Cabo Verde, Bahamas, Dominican Republic, Oman, Costa Rica, Guatemala, Honduras, Ethiopia, Venezuela, Uzbekistan, Paraguay, Ireland, Sri Lanka, Mozambique, Andorra, Congo, Guyana.
- Decelarating with negative perspective (The amount of daily cases is still low but some recent indicators show that the epidemic could be stable at current level or rise again or the country has recently started its deconfinement while the epidemic was not under control): Ghana, Afghanistan, South Korea, Sudan, DRC, Mauritania, Somalia, Mali, South Sudan, Benin, Togo.
- Decelerating: Bahrain, Zambia, Maldives, Jamaica, Haiti, Zimbabwe, Trinidad and Tobago, Nicaragua, Iceland.
- Decelerating with positive perspective (the number of daily cases is continuously decreasing and is already at a quite low level): Bolivia, Madagascar, Namibia, Eswatini, Lesotho.
- Extinction with negative perspective (the epidemic is under control on most part of the country but new cases have been discovered recently and might lead to a new wave): Djibouti, Rwanda.
- Extinction (the number of daily cases is very low and stable or decreasing): China, Singapore, Australia, Cote d'Ivoire, Senegal, Gabon, Malawi, CAR, Thailand, Burkina Faso, Guinea-Bissau, Sierra Leone, Yemen, Chad, Liberia, Vietnam.
- Extinction with positive perspective (no or almost no new daily cases and a small number of still active cases in the country): Suriname (18 remaining cases), Equatorial Guinea (39 cases), Gambia (31 cases), New Zealand (42 cases), Niger (33 cases), Sao Tome and Principe (38 cases).
- Extinct: none (from the countries above 712 cases - number of cases of Diamond Princess).
I also decided to add some informations about countries below the number of cases of Diamond Princess and that have a few or not remaining cases. I'll distinguish three categories: - Countries with high GDP that have higher chances to detect new clusters: Taiwan (43 remaining cases), Monaco (119 cases), Brunei (1 case), Liechtenstein (joined the main list), Vatican City (12 cases).
- Countries with lower GDP that are more likely to have missed new clusters: Papua New Guinea (7 remaining cases), Comoros (23 cases), Mauritius (27 cases), Mongolia (51 cases), Bhutan (22 cases), Cambodia (12 cases), Barbados (4 cases), Seychelles (3 cases), Saint Lucia (109 cases), Antigua and Barbuda (7 cases), Saint Vincent and the Grenadines (4 cases), Dominica (28 cases), Fiji (1 case), Grenada (5 cases), Timor Leste (1 case), Laos (1 case), Saint Kitts and Navis (0 cases), Solomon Islands (11 cases), Western Sahara (1 case), Marshall Islands (1 case).
- Countries that claim to be coronavirus-free but never announced any cases or stopped revealing their statistics: Tanzania, Turkmenistan, North Korea.
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Post by Robert on Nov 29, 2020 5:17:22 GMT 1
Yesterday, a local case was found in the North-West of Thailand in the city of Chiang Mai. It turned out that it was a person from Myanmar who came across the border illegally.
Other than that, Thailand has handled the virus fairly well and with good consistency.
A lot of measures are still in place such as mandatory masks outside, temperature checks and then all the same rules apply in schools.
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